Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000592 0.000680 0.000773 0.000880 0.000998 0.001124 0.001268
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000443 0.000561 0.000696 0.000861 0.001056 0.001276 0.001543
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000373 0.000504 0.000662 0.000863 0.001110 0.001399 0.001761
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000323 0.000463 0.000640 0.000873 0.001169 0.001526 0.001985
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000271 0.000412 0.000597 0.000850 0.001181 0.001591 0.002132
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000228 0.000368 0.000557 0.000824 0.001184 0.001642 0.002259
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000201 0.000340 0.000536 0.000822 0.001216 0.001727 0.002429
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000178 0.000317 0.000519 0.000821 0.001247 0.001812 0.002598
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000292 0.000496 0.000810 0.001264 0.001875 0.002741
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000267 0.000471 0.000794 0.001270 0.001923 0.002862
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.000258 0.000470 0.000812 0.001325 0.002039 0.003078
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000248 0.000466 0.000825 0.001373 0.002147 0.003284
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000228 0.000444 0.000809 0.001379 0.002195 0.003411
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000208 0.000421 0.000790 0.001377 0.002232 0.003523
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000197 0.000412 0.000792 0.001408 0.002317 0.003703
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000189 0.000407 0.000801 0.001449 0.002417 0.003908
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000172 0.000385 0.000780 0.001441 0.002443 0.004005
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000156 0.000362 0.000756 0.001427 0.002459 0.004087
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000147 0.000353 0.000753 0.001448 0.002528 0.004248
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000139 0.000345 0.000752 0.001470 0.002600 0.004415
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000129 0.000332 0.000743 0.001477 0.002647 0.004545
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000119 0.000317 0.000727 0.001473 0.002677 0.004649
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000117 0.000319 0.000744 0.001526 0.002797 0.004892